Ok, so not a bad effort. Not going to be putting a deposit down on a Ferrari just yet but 5 correct predictions from 8 games was pretty good. I am going to keep testing this during the season and will also probably stick to the Premier League. The reason being one slight flaw in the Poisson model is that the results are weighted towards lower scores; that is why in fact there is another model called the Zero Inflated Poisson model.
I will be posting results as we go and making them freely available so keep checking back!
|West Ham vs Man United||3-1||No|
|Arsenal vs Watford||2-0||Yes|
|Everton vs Fulham||3-0||No|
|Huddersfield vs Tottenham||0-2||Yes|
|Man City vs Brighton||2-0||Yes|
|Chelsea vs Liverpool||1-1||Yes|
|Newcastle vs Leicester||0-2||No|
|Wolves vs Southampton||2-0||Yes|